• Newmark Closes Class-A Deal in Denver

    A new seniors housing community traded in the Denver, Colorado MSA, with the help of the team at Newmark. Developed in 2017, MorningStar at RidgeGate is located in the suburb of Lone Tree within the Ridgegate master plan that features retail, cultural amenities and a 284-bed hospital nearby. The property comprises five stories over subterranean... Read More »
  • Public REIT Purchases Texas Class-A Seniors Housing

    Blueprint was engaged in the divestment of a Class-A seniors housing community in San Antonio, Texas. Built in two phases in 2011 and 2017, Franklin Park TPC Parkway comprises 269 independent living, assisted living and memory care units. Following the completion of a six-year freeway expansion project that affected leasing, access to the... Read More »
  • Eads Sells Its 24th & 25th Missouri Community

    Patrick Byrne of Eads Investment Brokerage facilitated the divestment of two seniors housing communities in Missouri. This marks the 24th and 25th communities sold in Missouri for Eads. The Moberly community (which we believe to be Mark Twain Assisted Living) comprises 35 assisted living/independent living units and sold for $2.57 million, or... Read More »
  • 60 Seconds with Swett: CMS Raises the Minimum Staffing Mandate

    On Monday, CMS came out with its final minimum staffing standards for nursing homes, but the eventual outcome is anything but final. Despite the outcry from nursing home providers from the previous proposed mandate of three hours per resident per day, asking simple questions like how can we pay for this and where will this newly needed staff come... Read More »
  • More Shareholder Activism

    Fresh from its success in getting two people voted onto the Ventas Board of Directors, Land & Buildings is at it again, this time with National Health Investors. Like all the REITs, NHI’s managers and tenants had their share of problems during the pandemic. Who didn’t? Most of these issues are behind it, but the REIT could be in even stronger... Read More »

Brookdale Provides Update

Brookdale Senior Living just released its occupancy update for February, and our first take was that things need to be better than that. Then, we remembered our late 2020 analysis which showed that assisted living occupancy has never increased in the first quarter for each of the past 10 years. Therefore, we should not expect too much this quarter. In this light, Brookdale’s census outlook is not too bad. From January to February, the weighted average occupancy dropped just 10 basis points to 73.3%. Even better, the month-end occupancy increased by 20 basis points from the end of January to 74.4%. The problem is that census at the end of September was 74.2%, so we have seen little overall... Read More »
Brookdale Reports and Provides Guidance

Brookdale Reports and Provides Guidance

Not since the pandemic hit has Brookdale Senior Living provided guidance on adjusted EBITDA and RevPAR growth. It is something that has been missing for investors and analysts, but Brookdale was not alone in suspending guidance. It just became too difficult for anyone in the senior care business to predict with any amount of certainty what the next quarter or year would bring. Full year adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $240 million and $260 million, while RevPAR is expected to grow by 10% to 12% in 2022. Adjusted EBITDA in 2021 was $138.5 million, but $283.6 million in 2020. The good news is that this means management has more confidence with where their operations are going. We... Read More »
Brookdale: Time for a Reverse Split?

Brookdale: Time for a Reverse Split?

Perhaps it is because of the new Omicron variant spreading like wildfire, perhaps occupancy growth has stalled, or perhaps investors are just losing patience for a recovery that would boost the share price. Whatever the reasons, Brookdale Senior Living’s share price has dropped by 30% since mid-November, and it is now below $5.00 per share for the first time since last February. And, the 52-week high was $8.95 per share. Many investors do not like stocks that are below $10 per share, with some funds even prohibited from owning them. A $4 stock, or lower, implies current weakness or poor future performance expectations. To remedy this perception, some companies complete a reverse stock... Read More »
Brookdale Month-End Occupancy Falls in November

Brookdale Month-End Occupancy Falls in November

The brevity of Brookdale Senior Living’s occupancy update said a lot: there was not much good news to report. After eight consecutive months of increases, month-end occupancy decreased by 20 basis points from 74.5% in October to 74.3% in November. There could be numerous reasons for this, from the Omicron variant to the onset of the flu season to a staffing shortage, but demand clearly did not overcome these factors in the month of November. And these headwinds are not getting better anytime soon. Brookdale expects to continue publishing monthly occupancy through December 2021 reporting, so we could learn whether this decline is a blip or a trend.  Brookdale did... Read More »
Brookdale Soars on Q3 Earnings

Brookdale Soars on Q3 Earnings

As the largest seniors housing company, all eyes are always on Brookdale Senior Living and how it is performing. Investors seemed to like what they heard and saw after the company released its third quarter earnings report last Friday, sending the shares up by 14% to close at their highest level since August 2.  Part of the good news was that the company will start issuing earnings and cash flow guidance moving forward, something that Brookdale and most other companies suspended with the onset of the pandemic. In addition, they reported their eighth straight month of census increases dating back to the bottom in February. In February, the weighted average occupancy was 69.4%... Read More »