What to Pay For an “A” Quality Assisted Living Community
It is becoming increasingly apparent that there are two separate markets for assisted living properties between those we consider “A” properties and those that are “B” properties. We first separated out these two markets in 2012 (and did so again in our just-published 2017 Senior Care Acquisition Report) based on the properties’ age, size and location, and while there will likely be some “A” communities in with the “B” communities (and the other way around), it all evens out. The difference was stark in 2016, with “A” properties averaging $265,700 per unit, compared with $94,200 per unit for “B” properties. That difference of $171,500 per unit easily beats out 2015’s $110,100 per unit gap... Read More »
Record Skilled Nursing Prices Have Peaked
After setting record prices for four straight years, the 2016 record price may have some staying power. As you know, the average price per bed for skilled nursing facilities hit a record in 2016 for the fourth year in a row. The number of properties selling for more than $100,000 per bed, which used to be reserved for only the very best facilities, also hit a record. I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but I believe last year’s record average price may have some staying power. As I said last week, I have been accused of being Mr. Doom and Gloom, but realistically, when looking at the landscape, there is little positive that would push prices higher. Medicare Advantage is pushing down... Read More »Investor Sentiment at the NIC Conference
Last week’s 60 Seconds with Steve video greeted everyone attending the NIC Conference in San Diego and asked what the sentiment might be during the conference. In years past, you could tell we were in a bull market with all the deal making going on in public, the exuberance of the crowds and the general noise level. Although the stated attendance was approximately 1,500, it did seem a little smaller than that, without the usual crowds in the lobby bar for one last nightcap and another round of industry gossip. The overall sentiment was one of caution, and this was especially true in the skilled nursing side of the business (see today’s 60 Seconds video). As we all know, the American Health... Read More »Occupancy’s Impact on Skilled Nursing Facility Prices
The skilled nursing industry has experienced consistent declines in average occupancy over the past few years, sinking to a new low of 81.8% in the fourth quarter of 2016, according to NIC’s latest Skilled Nursing Data Report. It should be said that the actual level of occupancy has become less important for skilled nursing facilities because the focus has been centered on short-term-stay patients. Almost by definition, because of the high level of turnover with these patients, and the inability to consistently and constantly fill those beds on discharge, overall occupancy tends to suffer. But since these patients are more profitable than longer stay patients, providers have not worried as... Read More »
Seniors Housing Sentiment on Eve of NIC Conference
As we ready ourselves for attending the NIC Conference, it should be interesting from a sentiment perspective. Good morning San Diego! For those of you attending the NIC Conference I hope to be able to chat a little with you, maybe later tonight or Thursday night. You know where to find me. This will be an interesting conference from a sentiment perspective. Are people still on a high from some of the record pricing in the acquisition market of the past few years? Or will we be seeing continued caution from those worried about occupancy, labor, rising interest rates and the new community openings this year? The party is definitely not over, but if you were to balance out the positives with... Read More »Schedule a demo
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