Kindred Healthcare and Others Facing Labor Headwinds
Earnings season is almost over, and companies such as Kindred Healthcare, Genesis HealthCare and Brookdale Senior Living share the labor headwinds problem. Earnings season is almost over, and if there was one word coming from companies like Kindred Healthcare, Genesis HealthCare and Brookdale Senior Living, it was “headwinds.” Although there are different headwinds, one common denominator is labor, specifically its cost. A year ago, many companies were downplaying its significance. No longer. Genesis announced its earnings, and its stock dropped 16%. The Ensign Group announced, its stock also dropped 16%. Brookdale announced no news regarding a capital event and continuing occupancy... Read More »
The Senior Care Investors Have Spoken
Last week, we hosted a 90-minute webinar called “Seniors Housing M&A: The Numbers, the Deals and the 2017 Forecast” with panelists Arnold Whitman of Formation Capital, Bill Mulligan of Ziegler and Alan Plush of HealthTrust, and Steve Monroe moderating. The panel discussed our 2016 M&A statistics for the skilled nursing, assisted living and independent living M&A markets (to be published in the 22nd Edition of The Senior Care Acquisition Report this March), which saw new record-high prices for SNFs and ALFs. But those high prices contradict a growing sense of caution among investors, and lead us to wonder if we have passed the peak. Our listeners to the webinar certainly thought... Read More »Genesis Healthcare Disappoints in Fourth Quarter Earnings
The fourth quarter of 2016 was a tough one for Genesis Healthcare, but it appears 2017 will not be any better, according to both management and those in the industry. Metrics were down nearly across the board. Average occupancy fell 40 basis points from the third quarter to 85.1% (that is also 90 basis points down from Q4:15), and the weighted average revenue per day dropped $2 per patient day. The latter was largely caused, according to management, by reduced funding in the state of Texas, particularly in its Upper Payment Limit program. Those factors, among others, resulted in an adjusted fourth quarter EBITDAR of $156.6 million, which was down 2.7% year-over-year and well off consensus... Read More »
Blackstone, now Ventas, Vying for Brookdale Senior Living
With rumors that Blackstone was out of the bidding for Brookdale Senior Living, it was then leaked that Ventas was in discussions. The saga never ends. We are certainly in weird times. Last week, it appeared that Blackstone was out of the bidding for Brookdale Senior Living, or at least a part of it. Then, it was leaked late Thursday that Ventas was in discussions to buy all or part of Brookdale. What happened the next day? Brookdale’s stock dropped 6.5% on volume of more than 19 million shares, or almost five times the average. So, did investors think Ventas would not pay as much as Blackstone would, and were disappointed? Perhaps, but then after the long weekend, Brookdale jumped back up... Read More »
Skilled Nursing Cap Rates Stable after Record Rise in Price
We are less than a week away from our webinar “Seniors Housing M&A: the Numbers, the Deals and the 2017 Forecast,” where we discuss the results of our soon-to-be-released Senior Care Acquisition Report. Prices have risen to new heights in skilled nursing, nearly surpassing $100,000 per bed at $99,200 per bed. But what happened to skilled nursing cap rates, which most buyers prize far more as a valuation tool than price per bed? In the last couple of years, it has remained remarkably stable at 12.2% (identical to its 2015 level), with just a 20 basis point variance over the past three years. Although not reaching the record-low from the last bull market (12.1% in 2007), skilled nursing... Read More »Schedule a demo
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