Ventas Reports
After Welltower’s solid fourth quarter performance, all eyes were on Ventas, which has not pursued the aggressive growth path that Welltower has. Operating metrics were up in its SHOP portfolio of seniors housing communities, but not up as much as investors would have hoped. But that is not the fault of Ventas; rather, it is the fault of the operators that are underperforming. Same-community occupancy increased 170 basis points in the fourth quarter, year over year, to 84.9%. Revenue was up year over year by 7.0% while expenses were up just 4.2%. This drove a 15.0% increase in cash NOI and a 180-basis point increase in the NOI margin to 25.4%, and this is after management fees. Not bad,... Read More »
Sonida Senior Living Readies for Next Phase
Don’t you love it when a plan finally comes together? Sonida Senior Living has been working diligently to streamline its capital structure, not to mention improving its census and margins. Yesterday they announced two major developments which should set the stage for future growth. First, they purchased $77.4 million of outstanding debt held by Protective Life for $40.2 million, or a 52% discount, across seven communities. We are not sure we have seen that large of a discount in the market, and perhaps news of this will light a fire under some other creditors. Part of the purchase price was funded by a $24.8 million expansion of Sonida’s existing term loan with Ally Bank. An additional $44... Read More »
Some Providers Still Stuck In Pandemic Swamp
Diversified Healthcare Trust reported on the December performance of its seniors housing operators, and let’s just say it seems that little progress has been made. In the seniors housing operating portfolio (SHOP) operated by Aleris/Five Star, with 117 communities and 16,951 units, in 2023 census increased by only 240 basis points to 80.4% in December. But that is not the major problem. The average monthly rate has held fairly stable, ending the year at $4,429 compared with $4,278 in January last year. The problem has been expenses, which increased by 11% over the year, jumping by 5% from November to December alone. That resulted in a plunge in NOI in December to $4.0 million,... Read More »
300 Seconds with Steve Monroe: Here We Go Again
Whenever there are headlines about anything in senior care, we can always count on Senate hearings, with a lot of unfounded accusations and unrealistic recommendations. This usually leads to a new commission being formed, the results of which are delivered a year later in 300 pages that no one reads, except perhaps Richard Mollot of the Long Term Care Community Coalition. But that is his job. It is doubtful Liz Warren will read it. Let me start with Richard Mollot, who apparently claimed at the January 25th Senate hearing that there is a crisis in assisted living, and compared assisted living today with nursing homes in the 1970s and 1980s. Really? Did he ever go into a nursing home back... Read More »
2023 U.S. Deal Activity Nears 450 Transactions
The preliminary numbers are in, and the 2023 senior care M&A market ended up healthier than most would have predicted at the start of the year. U.S. transaction volume, based on deals that have been publicly announced but not necessarily closed (although most deals are completed by the time they are disclosed to us), reached 441 deals in 2023. That is 15% down from 2022’s domestic volume of 517 transactions, but it surpasses 2021’s deal volume of 427 transactions by 3%. Given the pullback in liquidity, the rapidly changing capital costs, economic uncertainty and collapse in cash flow at communities across the industry, a more precipitous drop in M&A volume could have been... Read More »Schedule a demo
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