Waiting To Sell, Or Buy, Or Lend
If census has indeed bottomed in the senior care industry, investors may still want to wait for several months of sustained growth before buying again. Although “consensus” on anything is dangerous to rely on, it does seem that either we have hit that bottom of the occupancy plunge, and if not, we are very close to it. After a year of turmoil and uncertainty, a rising national occupancy level for seniors housing will be quite a relief. What we are hearing is that some lenders want to see at least three months of consistent, increasing census for their new loans, and we suspect some buyers will want to see that as well. I guess you could say they want to see it before they will believe it.... Read More »
And The Audience Says…
Last week, we hosted a webinar tackling the differences between two classes of seniors housing communities: “A” quality versus “B” quality. Often, buyers and investors of one group do not do much business in the other, so it is worth breaking out the differences in valuation, operations and investment strategies. So, for the last several years in our annual Senior Care Acquisition Report, we have divided seniors housing properties into these categories based on a combination of their age, size and location. Leading up to the pandemic, prices paid for “A” quality properties were surging as labor and occupancy headwinds seemed to be affecting “B” (and “C”)... Read More »
Is Home Care The Answer?
The move toward more home health is upon us, and it is time for providers to engage. If President Biden’s $2.1 trillion “stimulus” bill goes through, you all have heard about that $400 billion for home and community-based services. Not $400 million, but billion. When nearly 20% of a so-called stimulus package is going towards home and community-based care, well, forgive me for getting nervous. It is the progressive political/academic/union complex trying to make a major change in care for the elderly, but with borrowed federal funds. We know that Medicaid doesn’t work well for most nursing homes, and that most assisted living providers want to remain private pay. That means there is... Read More »
Senior Care Centers/Abri Health Go Chapter 11
On April 16, both Senior Care Centers and Abri Health Services filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. This is the second time in a little more than two years that Senior Care has filed for BK. In March 2020, Senior Care debtors emerged from bankruptcy (great timing), and as part of the reorganization, Abri Health was formed as the parent company of the Senior Care debtors and became a co-tenant and co-obligor with Senior Care under LTC Properties’ master lease. The master lease includes 11 skilled nursing facilities in Texas with approximately 1,400 beds. LTC’s annualized revenue from the leases is about $15.0 million, representing 9.6% of LTC’s... Read More »
Promising Census Signs From National Health Investors Update
We are still waiting for that first sign that the seniors housing and care recovery has truly begun. There were some encouraging signs from Welltower’s SHOP portfolio when its census started to rise in the later weeks of March. But so far, that is it. Earlier this month, NIC reported that average occupancy at seniors housing communities fell to a new record low in the first quarter, to 78.8% from 80.6% in the fourth quarter. National Health Investors also recently provided an update regarding its average occupancy and monthly contractual cash collections. Even though the REIT did not report an increase in census at its three major seniors housing operators, the decline has slowed... Read More »Schedule a demo
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