Creativcap Announces Sale and Several Loan Closings
It’s good to see business still getting done these days. Scott Kavel, Founder and Principal of Creativcap, took that to another level by announcing four transactions in the last week, including one sale and three loan closings. The transactions were likely nearly finalized before much of the mayhem started, but to close a deal in this environment is an accomplishment. The sale included a stand-alone memory care community in the Southeast. Built in 2015, it features 65 units and nearly 54,000 square feet. Occupancy was over 95%, and operations stayed on track throughout the sales process. Its location is undisclosed but was in a top-tier market in the Southeast. That location, along with... Read More »
REITs Announce Share Repurchase Programs
Amid the cratering of share prices across most industries, a couple of healthcare REITs announced share repurchase plans. LTC Properties announced that its Board of Directors approved a share repurchase plan involving an aggregate of up to five million of its outstanding shares of common stock. The company made the plan public on March 12th, when the company’s stock price closed at $29.53 per share, down from $48.84 per share on March 5th. Its stock price has since fallen a little further, hitting bottom (we hope) at $24.49 on March 18th, the same day when most stock indices also reached their near-term lows. LTC plans to use the proceeds from several asset sales to execute on some of the... Read More »
The HUD Doors Are Still Open
One thing to come out of the coronavirus crisis (among many things) has been record-low interest rates, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling as low as 0.318% on March 9 and the federal funds rate being cut to 0-0.25%. It has been in the federal government’s interest to maintain liquidity in the market, as much as possible, so how has that policy affected HUD lending in the senior care industry? We asked Michael Gehl of Housing & Healthcare Finance a few questions, and here are his answers: 1) First question is, is HUD still doing business? Yes, HUD is still doing business, as you can imagine a number of people are working from home, which does create its challenges not... Read More »
Welltower Prepares for the Worst
Welltower announced a couple of moves to significantly increase its near-term liquidity. With all the uncertainty going around right now, that seems to be a prudent move. As of March 20, 2020, the REIT had $338 million of cash and cash equivalents and about $1.5 billion of available borrowing capacity under its unsecured revolving credit facility. Now, Welltower has added a two-year unsecured term loan of $1.0 billion, bearing an interest rate of 30-day LIBOR +1.20%. The company will also have the right to increase the loan amount by an additional $200 million. Proceeds from the loan will be used to repay borrowings under Welltower’s unsecured revolving credit facility and commercial paper... Read More »Irrational Valuations for REIT Shares
What a week it has been. At the market’s close on Wednesday, Ventas was yielding 18.7%, Omega Healthcare Investors 18.0% and Sabra Health Care REIT 30.4%. This assumes they all maintain their current dividend rates. Ventas just announced the payment date for its dividend at the same rate as last year. Of course, Ventas plunged by 19% on Wednesday, Omega by 17% and Sabra by 20%. These drops, on top of the previous weeks’ plunge, caused yields to skyrocket. Obviously, this is irrational, even in these days of the coronavirus/Covid-19 pandemic (CV-19). All of the other healthcare REITs fared poorly as well. But does this represent a buying opportunity?... Read More »
Genesis HealthCare Sees Share Value Rebound
It’s no surprise that Genesis HealthCare has seen a significant drop in its share value as a result of Covid-19. The company owns and operates facilities that care for a medically-complex population that is most vulnerable to the virus, which is a huge risk in itself. The horrifying situation at a Life Care Centers facility in Kirkland, Washington, where 129 cases of Covid-19 have been confirmed (81 residents, 34 staff members and 14 visitors) and 35 people have died (more than half of the state’s total), has also colored the image of SNFs in this situation, probably contributing to the flight of capital from the sector’s stocks. During the massive... Read More »
People on the Move, March 2020
Right before Covid-19 brought everything to a stand-still, there were some hiring announcements in the senior care industry worth mentioning. We hope virtual onboarding can be just as effective. JLL Capital Markets announced that Alanna Ellis has joined the firm as a Director in its Seattle office and will be responsible for sourcing debt and equity placement business for healthcare, seniors housing and hospitality transactions. Ms. Ellis has 22 years of real estate experience, with the last 12 years focused exclusively on the commercial real estate finance and development sector. Most recently, she was a Senior Partner/Vice President of Commercial Lending at IPG, where she worked for 13... Read More »
Surviving The Coronavirus
What a difference five days, and 3,200 miles can make, not to mention panic selling in our sector. Well, we certainly are living in interesting times. And not fun times. I decided to stay with my plans and went to Scotland for a bachelor party last weekend. No kidding. It was fun and was a great bonding experience with my future son-in-law. I hope he feels the same way. The return was hassle free, but it was a different country I returned to from what I left on Thursday night. School, restaurant, store and theater closings, to mention a few, plus shelter in place orders, added to the panic. And talk about panic. Senior care and healthcare REIT stocks were pummeled more than any other... Read More »
Collapse of Brookdale and Capital Senior Living Continues
We are officially in unchartered territory. It is now quite embarrassing that we stated two years ago, as Brookdale Senior Living’s share price dropped below $10, that it had reached a floor. Yes, hindsight is 20/20, but we don’t know anyone who really predicted how drastic it has actually become for senior living stocks. The question is, what to do now? The second question is, will it get worse? The day-to-day volatility in the stock markets is unprecedented. The day-to-day declines in values in our sector are even more unprecedented. It seems that when the major indices drop by 10%, our sector, including the REITs, drops by 20%. It is a magnification of the worries brought on by the... Read More »
Ventas Preparing For Worst
There is no way to mince words. When it comes to valuation, Ventas is a shadow of its former self. After being worth more than $20 billion, its market cap has dropped to just $7.8 billion. This compares with Welltower ($15.8 billion) and Healthpeak Properties ($11.8 billion). So much for the “Big Three” REITs. This is new territory for Ventas and its CEO, Debbie Cafaro. But who knows, maybe the Penguins will win the Stanley Cup this year, if there is one. Ventas, like Brookdale Senior Living, has withdrawn its 2020 earnings guidance. It stated that tours and move-ins at its operators are beginning to slow, even though the first two months of the year met previous expectations. What a... Read More »Schedule a demo
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