• WOW! Sonida Senior Living Goes BIG

    Sonida Senior Living just announced what can only be described as a transformational acquisition. Since new management came in, CEO Brandon Ribar and CFO Kevin Detz, Sonida has been on an upward path of improved operations and a balance sheet that has grown stronger. Occupancy has been increasing (87.7% in Q3) and NOI and EBITDA are rising. Spot... Read More »
  • 60 Seconds with Swett: October Smashes M&A Record

    We were predicting a record-breaking end to the year in terms of M&A activity, but we are not sure we expected a 100+ deal month, with 110 transactions and counting. Just to put that in perspective, the previous record for any month was 77 deals in October of last year, and only four months had previously broken the 70-deal barrier. So this... Read More »
  • Newmark Ends October with Portfolio Closings

    Newmark announced a flurry of transactions at the end of October involving various institutional firms. The largest was a portfolio of seniors housing communities in the Northeast known as “Stars and Stripes.” Word on the street is that the portfolio sold for north of $800 million, and that a sub-portfolio was valued at more than $1 million per... Read More »
  • Stacked Stone Acquires Missouri Portfolio

    Stacked Stone Ventures announced the purchase of a seven-community assisted living/memory care portfolio in Missouri for $71 million, or $212,600 per unit. Totaling 334 units and 405 beds, the Oak Pointe portfolio was developed between 2015 and 2020 by an investor group called ClearPath Senior Housing, which included Jeff Binder of Senior Living... Read More »
  • Blueprint Sells Georgia Community to LTC Properties

    LTC Properties divested seven skilled nursing facilities through two separate deals for $122 million in October. In those transaction announcements, the publicly traded REIT noted that it intended to redeploy proceeds for the acquisition of newer, stabilized SHOP assets. It looks like that’s what the publicly traded REIT did in Georgia at the... Read More »

Senior Care Stocks Remain in Doldrums

Seniors housing and care stocks remain in the dumps. There has been no Trump bump for them, as the rest of the market is up 16% since the beginning of this year. We should be only half as lucky. One would think that the skilled nursing dominated companies would have been the hardest hit, given all the talk of Medicaid block grants and census declines. But through mid-October, two of them have actually posted gains so far. Diversicare Healthcare Services is up 11% and The Ensign Group has eked out a small 2.2% gain so far this year. Meanwhile, National HealthCare Corporation has dropped nearly 15% this year, and Genesis HealthCare has plunged more than 75% and has settled in around $1.00... Read More »
Should Diversicare Health Be Worth Double Its Current Price?

Should Diversicare Health Be Worth Double Its Current Price?

Although Diversicare Health and a few others may disagree, it is not always a bad thing to have an activist shareholder or two as investors in your company. They can keep you on your toes, force you to look at options to enhance value that you may not be considering, and their actions often result in publicity for an “undervalued” stock that may bring other shareholders in, which should help in driving the price up. Diversicare Health is a small company, with a stock market capitalization of around $70 million. It has been growing, but mostly with new leases which did not need much capital to acquire. That is good news, at least on the capital side. Currently, about 19% of the skilled... Read More »

Seniors Housing Occupancy Weakens

NIC announced their second quarter occupancy and development trends, and unfortunately it was not pretty. After a first quarter which suffered from the ubiquitous flu season census declines, we had expected, at worst, a small sequential decline in the second quarter, but perhaps a small 10 to 20 basis point uptick, maybe even better. For majority assisted living in the top 31 MSAs, for those properties open for two years (stabilized properties) average occupancy dropped 50 basis points from the first quarter to 88.9%, but down 80 basis points from the year-ago quarter. Historically, the average second quarter sequential decline is 10 basis points, and the current 50 basis point drop was... Read More »

Time To Move Forward

Activist shareholders can distract management from focusing on growth and cash flow, and maybe Brookdale and Capital Senior Living can move forward in peace. Don’t you just hate distractions. Andy Smith at Brookdale has had to deal with a bunch of activist shareholders for the past year while trying to right his ship. Larry Cohen of Capital Senior Living had his activist several years ago, who then went on his board and became aligned with management’s goals. In round two this year, he has come to agreement with another one, Lucas Advisors, known by some as the trust fund baby hedge fund. Capital has agreed to appoint a new independent Board member, consulting with Lucas on the... Read More »
Pensacola purchase

Pensacola purchase

Following up on its $1.45 billion in total closings for 2015, HFF recently closed another sale. Representing the seller, a private San Diego-based owner/operator, Ryan Maconachy and Chad Lavender of HFF sold a 95-unit assisted living community (built in 1988) and an 84-unit memory care community (built in 1997 and 2006), both located in Pensacola, Florida. The two communities combined for 94% occupancy, but the AL was dragging slightly. The owner completed almost $1.3 million of capex since the beginning of 2014 at the MC community, and was in the middle of renovating the AL community. Capital Senior Living was the buyer and purchased the properties for $48 million, or $268,156 per unit,... Read More »