Early Signs of COVID-19 In Several REIT Earnings Reports
Several publicly traded seniors housing and care companies released their first earnings reports after the COVID-19 crisis, and while most of the results showed signs of the virus’ effect, the worst is most likely yet to come. As a consequence of that, each company pulled their 2020 guidance, but no surprise there. LTC Properties reported on May 4th, and there were some results unfortunately typical for this time. Private pay occupancy fell from 86% at December 31 to 83% by March 31 and 80% on April 23rd. For skilled nursing, average monthly occupancy for December 2019, March 2020 and April to-date respectively was 79%, 78% and 75%. That drop from March to April is roughly in line... Read More »
Irrational Valuations for REIT Shares
What a week it has been. At the market’s close on Wednesday, Ventas was yielding 18.7%, Omega Healthcare Investors 18.0% and Sabra Health Care REIT 30.4%. This assumes they all maintain their current dividend rates. Ventas just announced the payment date for its dividend at the same rate as last year. Of course, Ventas plunged by 19% on Wednesday, Omega by 17% and Sabra by 20%. These drops, on top of the previous weeks’ plunge, caused yields to skyrocket. Obviously, this is irrational, even in these days of the coronavirus/Covid-19 pandemic (CV-19). All of the other healthcare REITs fared poorly as well. But does this represent a buying opportunity?... Read More »
Ventas Preparing For Worst
There is no way to mince words. When it comes to valuation, Ventas is a shadow of its former self. After being worth more than $20 billion, its market cap has dropped to just $7.8 billion. This compares with Welltower ($15.8 billion) and Healthpeak Properties ($11.8 billion). So much for the “Big Three” REITs. This is new territory for Ventas and its CEO, Debbie Cafaro. But who knows, maybe the Penguins will win the Stanley Cup this year, if there is one. Ventas, like Brookdale Senior Living, has withdrawn its 2020 earnings guidance. It stated that tours and move-ins at its operators are beginning to slow, even though the first two months of the year met previous expectations. What a... Read More »
Healthpeak Expands Oakmont Relationship
Healthpeak is yet again expanding its relationship with Oakmont Senior Living, after already making a couple of acquisitions with the operator earlier this year. The two companies entered into an agreement that provides Healthpeak the option to acquire up to 24 of Oakmont’s seniors housing development pipeline, when Oakmont decides to sell. Concentrated in California, the communities will have a projected aggregate value of approximately $1.3 billion. They will be offered for sale in tranches from 2020 to 2023, including about $200 million in expected sales in the first half of 2020. Once offered, the REIT will have the option to acquire each applicable tranche based on a pre-determined... Read More »