NIC, Valuations and Big Deals
Join me Wednesday afternoon at 4:00 pm as I moderate the NIC Valuations session. By the time you are watching this, I will be walking around the meeting rooms, receptions, and various sessions at the NIC Conference. And please join me today at 4:00 pm as I am moderating the session on valuations called, “What’s It Really Worth?” If you want to find out the answer, join us. But it is a very good question in today’s market, where capital is still abundant, but the 10-year Treasury rate has doubled in a year and a half. Occupancies are still weak across the board, but there are plenty of providers producing a healthy amount of cash flow. The minimum wage is rising across the country, but that... Read More »
Seniors Housing Occupancy Woes
Recent third quarter data was not promising, but are we looking at the wrong numbers? When NIC released its occupancy stats last week, people were hoping for good news. Hope, however, is not a business plan. The third quarter has historically been a “make-up” quarter, making up for the usual dismal first quarter and the now not-so-good second quarter. It didn’t happen this year, and as we head into the flu season, that is very troubling. What may be more troubling is that in the top 31 MSAs, assisted living unit growth is still at its highest levels since before 2006. And while moderating, assisted living construction as a percent of inventory is still higher than it has been in 13 years.... Read More »
Near-Record Third Quarter M&A Volume
Heavy demand continues for properties across the seniors housing and care spectrum. I know I have been a little negative on the market in the past year or so, given all the problems we have seen and written about, not to mention peak pricing a year ago. I am not sure how to take it, but I guess people have not been listening. The acquisition activity continues unabated, with back to back quarters with more than 100 announced acquisitions each. This is a very strong market with heavy demand across the seniors housing and care spectrum. With 102 deals in the third quarter, we have now posted 293 transactions through September 30. That puts us on track for a record year, beating out 2015 as... Read More »
Pricing SNFs After A Market Peak
Average skilled nursing values have dropped by 20% since the market peak in 2016, and by this time next year we will have a new Medicare reimbursement protocol. How will that figure into valuing skilled nursing facilities today? Is the skilled nursing market approaching a bottom? We know when it peaked in terms of acquisition values, and that was in 2016 at $99,000 per bed. But pricing has dropped by 20% since then, despite continued strong demand for nursing facilities. Now, after a few years of Medicare Advantage plans squeezing cash flow by cutting rates and shortening lengths of stay, a new reimbursement system will become effective a year from now. While the industry has responded... Read More »
We Can All Help To End Alzheimer’s
Alzheimer’s is a terrible disease, but everyone can help find a cure. We participated in our first Walk To End Alzheimer’s yesterday, along with about 2,000 other walkers in Norwalk, CT. While we raised $3,500 so far, it is only 50% of our goal, or $100 for each of the 70 years we have been in business. But there is still time to join our team, as the deadline is December 15. Check out our team page to make a donation to this very worthy cause. Kudos to Bill and Bob Thomas of Senior Star, who ranked second and third, respectively, for top walkers nationally, raising $108,558 (Bill) and $107,558 (Bob). Nothing like a family competition. Five of the top 10 walkers were from Oklahoma,... Read More »Schedule a demo
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