Occupancy And Active Adult Communities
Seniors housing occupancy hits a low because of new supply, while active adult communities begin to take off. As you know, occupancy in seniors housing now stands at a low point since the Great Recession, especially on the assisted living side. Eighteen months ago, “the market” was looking for a turn around by the second half of 2018. Not happening. Now it is the second half of 2019, with some looking at 2020. Maybe happening. New supply has obviously had its impact, and people keep on developing. But some developers are moving into what is variously called the 55+ market or “active adult” communities. They are easier to zone, cheaper to build and don’t require much staff, all important... Read More »
The Warning Signs Were There
With assisted living occupancy now at an eight-year low, the reasons seemed very obvious a few years ago. I am a hoarder. I like to keep reports, articles, magazines and anything else of interest pertaining to seniors housing and care. So, last night I was cleaning up some papers stacked in my office and came across one of Jerry Doctrow’s first blogs since retiring from Stifel Nicolaus in 2015. Dated January 6, 2016, it was called, “Why Near-Term Trends Could Spell Trouble for Senior Housing.” As I re-read it, all I thought was, why didn’t more people see the problem back then? NIC MAP had just come out with its most recent quarterly data on occupancy and construction, and while not... Read More »
Skilled Nursing Staffing Woes
Another front page New York Times story highlighting problems with skilled nursing facilities. I am sure many of you saw the recent New York Times article about understaffing in the nation’s nursing facilities, particularly on the weekends. The new methodology used, based on actual payrolls obtained by Medicare, indicates that staffing is 12% lower than using the previous methodology, which was based on self-reporting. The article used one small nursing facility in New York as an example of weekend staff shortages. Anecdotally, my next-door neighbor’s mother was in a local assisted living community operated by a prominent national chain, and she always complained about the “Sunday dump... Read More »
Will Brookdale Be Back In Play?
With agreements nailed down with its major REITs, buyers may start sniffing around again at a leaner and more profitable Brookdale. The announcement last week during the ASHA mid-year meeting, that Brookdale Senior Living had come to several agreements with Welltower on their various leases, was met with relief and renewed optimism for the seniors housing sector. Last Friday we reported on the details of the agreements, but most people we spoke with were hoping that as Brookdale’s financial pressures ease, the negative sentiment it had created for the industry will also start to dissipate. In addition, with the change-of-control roadblocks by the Big Three REITs now gone, always used as an... Read More »
Is Apollo Global Management Entering Our Space, Again?
After a disastrous outing 20 years ago, Apollo may see better opportunities this time around. The rumors are swirling that private equity giant Apollo Global Management is putting its toe back in our market after a long absence. The rumor is that Apollo is buying 22 senior living communities from HCP, Inc. that are operated by Brookdale Senior Living. HCP previously disclosed that it is under contract to sell the portfolio for $428 million, or about $154,000 per unit, but never disclosed the buyer. Either Apollo is getting a deal, or these are older properties not performing too well, based on the relatively low price point. The last time we recall Apollo making a major investment in the... Read More »Schedule a demo
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