Is Alaska’s Problem A Look At Our Future?
Cuts to Alaska’s elderly funding was front-page news recently. I figured it was fate when, on my first day on vacation in Alaska last week, the headline of the major newspaper talked about the elimination of senior benefits. Then, in the hotel lobby was a separate publication, Senior Voice, and a story about the ABCs of selecting an assisted living “home.” Let’s just say, I felt right at home. That lead story told how more than 13,000 Alaskan seniors would be losing a monthly benefit check of just under $200, with the governor vetoing a plan to restore it with just three days’ notice. Sounds like chump change, until you consider that many of these people relied on that and a social... Read More »
The Skilled Nursing Rebound
Average prices per bed ticked up over the past four quarters, and Genesis Healthcare posted better results. In this month’s SeniorCare Investor, I talked about the recent rise in the average price per bed for skilled nursing facilities for the most recent trailing four quarters. A small rise, but up nonetheless. Perhaps the start of a SNF rebound. And then Genesis Healthcare reported its second quarter results, and while they still have a ways to go, they too have seen some improvement. Small, but we will take it. Compared with the year-ago quarter, occupancy was up 250 basis points to 86.6% and the EBITDAR margin was up 79 basis points to 13.6%. Now, some of this improvement most likely... Read More »
Brookdale and Capital Senior Living Earnings Disappoint
We are not sure why investors continue to think there may be some break-through news every quarter when the big seniors housing companies report earnings. This has been, and is going to continue to be, a slog to get through the mess created by too much development exacerbated by labor problems. Brookdale Senior Living’s management put a positive spin on the quarter, such as associate turnover improving by 5% compared with last year, and same-community move-ins showing positive year-over-year growth. That is all good news, but it will not be enough to pacify shareholders who want to see much more to move the valuation needle. And while some categories of occupancy showed improvement, such... Read More »
The Great Development Slowdown
Everyone is talking about development slowing down, but over development is just part of the problem. We have been hearing it for a few months: seniors housing development is slowing down, based on fewer new construction starts. We have heard it from NIC MAP, from HCVenTower, and now Brookdale Senior Living. They are all saying that in many of their markets, they are seeing light at the end of the over-development tunnel. Maybe. It is one thing if new starts are declining, but it is quite another to fill the current empty units plus the new supply that is currently opening, and going to open. Let’s just say, we are not out of the woods yet, and census is only one part of the problem. Not... Read More »
