• Brookdale’s Operations Improve While NOI and Margins Lag

    Following the preliminary results announcement after the January 28 close, Brookdale Senior Living’s stock spiked 11.5% on January 29. Investors cheered the upbeat early numbers, but the mood shifted once the official quarterly and full-year results came out February 18 after the bell. The stock opened nearly 7% below the prior close and dropped... Read More »
  • Morgan Stanley and Foundry Commercial Exit Spring Arbor Portfolio

    Morgan Stanley Investment Management, through funds managed by Morgan Stanley Real Estate Investing, and Foundry Commercial have completed their exit from the Spring Arbor Senior Living portfolio through the sale of the remaining 11 assets. The seniors housing communities, located in Maryland and Virginia, comprise 795 assisted living and memory... Read More »
  • Investor Enters Seniors Housing Sector Through Recapitalization

    Amy Sitzman and Giancarlo Riso of Blueprint handled the recapitalization of Countryside of Wichita Falls, a 50-unit assisted living community in Wichita Falls, Texas. The asset offered value-add potential through renovations, rebranding and a planned memory care addition. As occupancy began to improve, Blueprint launched a marketing process,... Read More »
  • Public REIT Divests to National Provider

    A publicly traded REIT recently completed the wind down of its relationship with an outgoing operator through its sale of a seniors housing community in Wisconsin. Michael Segal, Lauren Nagle and Daniel Waldhorn of Blueprint handled the deal, targeting local, regional and national investors. A growing national provider was selected as the... Read More »
  • Multiple Buyers Acquire Skilled Nursing Beds

    Under Ohio’s certificate of need regulations, skilled nursing beds can be transferred from counties deemed over-bedded to those experiencing a shortage. Taking advantage of this window, 12 separate sellers, motivated by downsizing, closures or strategic repositioning, transferred their beds with the help of Senwell Senior Investment Advisors. Ben... Read More »

Occupancy, Rates And Discounting In Seniors Housing

The recent NIC MAP data on occupancy, development and rate growth can be interpreted in many ways. So, what are we really to make of the NIC MAP data for the first quarter? Most of the data was viewed positively, despite a smallish decline in occupancy from last year’s fourth quarter. Absorption levels have been increasing, according to the data, and construction starts as a percent of existing supply declined from both the fourth quarter and the year-ago quarter. Does this mean that the much-feared over-building threat has dissipated? Hardly, as one quarter’s worth of data does not present a strong trend, and it is possible the small decline in starts was related to the chaos in the... Read More »

A lot of building, but what’s the cost?

Taking a look at the NIC MAP® Construction Monitor as of Q2:15, which examines seniors housing construction in the Top 99 MSAs, we noticed on the AL side there were 22 MSAs with a construction vs. inventory ratio above 10%. If that doesn’t show a frothy development market, then what does? But, what is the cost to build in some of those MSAs? The Sarasota market, which has gotten a good amount of attention for its development pace, has eight assisted living properties under construction, and 893 units, representing a construction vs. inventory ratio of 30.7%. According to our data, which tracks senior living construction projects since 2013, majority-AL communities in the Sarasota market... Read More »

Seniors Housing Census Woes Continue

Brookdale Senior Living is not the only one with some recent census declines… The next few weeks will be very telling in terms of the direction of some of the major seniors housing companies. All eyes will be on Brookdale Senior Living next week as it announces second quarter results and whether it has reversed its downward occupancy trend. Brookdale’s stock price is down about 15% since June 1 and is at its lowest level in more than eight months. Those activist shareholders must be going nuts. We know NIC MAP indicated a tough second quarter in general, and we also know that the Atria Senior Living and Sunrise Senior Living properties in the Ventas stable posted a combined 40 basis... Read More »