From the Front Lines at NIC
As the hordes descended on San Diego for the Spring NIC conference, we soon learned that hotel rooms suddenly became available at the last minute. Why? Cancelations and no shows, perhaps 10% to 15%, as fears of the coronavirus spread. Larger conferences in the next several weeks have been canceled. For those of us braving the unknown, it was business as usual, elbow bumps instead of handshakes, and no problem finding meeting space in the networking lounge. Obviously, the biggest topic of conversation was the coronavirus, the potential impact on the economy in general, and specifically whether it would be a huge problem for the senior living sector. The worry was that if there were more... Read More »
Capital Senior Living Hits 10-Year Low
After the earnings reports over the past four weeks, it was unclear whether the seniors housing sector had hit operational bottom or not. Unfortunately, Capital Senior Living’s share price is still trying to find a bottom. But November 19th’s low of $3.45 per share was also the lowest price in more than 10 years, when in March 2009 it hit a low of $2.36 per share. This is not what new CEO Kim Lody wants to see. It is not what shareholders are expecting to see. In March of 2013, the shares hit a peak of $27.90, and hovered below that for the next few years. Acquisition activity was strong, and some shareholders thought they should sell and not wait to see higher values. Within five years,... Read More »
Of Ventas, Welltower and NIC
I know as one gets older, confusion can become more common. And today, I am a little confused about the state of the senior living industry. -Sponsored by The Senior Care Acquisition Reports NIC MAP has reported that maybe we have hit bottom in the third quarter, and that new construction starts are starting to decline, even though new openings remain high. Assisted living occupancy, while posting a small sequential increase, still remains far too low to get excited, but bottoming out would be welcome news. Then, Ventas reported its third quarter earnings, painting a not-so-pretty picture. Their RIDEA operating portfolio has not been performing well, posting a 5.0% decline in... Read More »
Brookdale and Capital Senior Living Earnings Disappoint
We are not sure why investors continue to think there may be some break-through news every quarter when the big seniors housing companies report earnings. This has been, and is going to continue to be, a slog to get through the mess created by too much development exacerbated by labor problems. Brookdale Senior Living’s management put a positive spin on the quarter, such as associate turnover improving by 5% compared with last year, and same-community move-ins showing positive year-over-year growth. That is all good news, but it will not be enough to pacify shareholders who want to see much more to move the valuation needle. And while some categories of occupancy showed improvement, such... Read More »Schedule a demo
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