Senior Care and REIT Stocks Collapse
Brookdale Senior Living and HCP, Inc. were the first to report on fourth quarter earnings, and investors did not like what they heard. I really don’t know what to say about the news that came out yesterday, other than it had a disastrous impact on the market. Investors were hoping for something positive out of Brookdale Senior Living’s earnings call, but what they got was that a sale of the company was off the table, they may do a stock buyback, and slow growth is what can be expected now. The reaction? The stock plunged by 25% in two hours. HCP, Inc. announced its fourth quarter results, which included announcing they were writing down their HCR ManorCare investment by $817 million, and... Read More »Where You Live Matters
The American Seniors Housing Association just launched its www.whereyoulivematters.org website. Last week, the American Seniors Housing Association launched its “Where You Live Matters” campaign (www.whereyoulivematters.org). The website offers an incredible menu of information to help guide seniors and their families to make the right decision for them with regards to senior living options. Independent living, assisted living, memory care, CCRCs? It’s all covered, plus a resource guide with 75 links to other helpful websites. To many of us, seniors housing options are second nature, because we live and breathe it. But for potential residents and their families, it is often a confusing... Read More »Genesis HealthCare Plunges
After falling by 60% in 2015, Genesis shares plunge on revised revenue and earnings forecasts. Talk about a disaster. Just when we thought all senior care stocks had bottomed out, Genesis HealthCare wasn’t done. All the others are now well above their recent lows, but Genesis plunged 32% on Monday and late yesterday was down another 12% when the overall market was up over 200 points. Why? Management revised downward its revenue and EBITDA estimates for 2015, and also revised downward their forecast for 2016. This was the second negative earnings surprise in less than a year, for which values get crucified. But here’s the rub. The share price had already dropped by 31% in December, and had... Read More »Investing In The Senior Care Development Market
The development activity in seniors housing is increasing, and anyone thinking about investing or lending in this market should attend tomorrow’s webinar. Will 2016 be the year that sets the stage for the future of the seniors housing development market? There have been two sides of the story, those who think that demand will increase enough to counter the current uptick in development we have been witnessing. And those who see the rate of new development accelerating this year and into 2017 and 2018 that will have significant negative ramifications in some markets. Regardless of where you stand in this argument, construction starts seem to be rising, and seniors housing is still a... Read More »Senior Care Prospects Dimming With Investors
Investors are selling senior care stocks, and perhaps because occupancy is in a rut with increasing construction starts. So, what are we to make of the dismal start of the New Year? Investors have hammered away at senior care stocks, and it has been ugly. On Monday, Brookdale Senior Living, Capital Senior Living, Genesis Healthcare and Kindred Healthcare all hit new lows. Who would have thought? Is it a sector problem with investors, or are they nervous about the near-term future? Last week NIC MAP released its fourth quarter occupancy numbers, and while some analysts saw the positive side of a slight sequential increase in overall seniors housing occupancy, the reality is that it is still... Read More »Schedule a demo
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