Immigration and Seniors Housing Labor Woes
Bringing in low-skill, low-wage immigrants for seniors housing may not be the answer. There have been calls to ease immigration in order to bring caregivers into the U.S. to fill low-skill jobs in seniors housing. As you know, this is a need that will be growing for the next 30 years or more, so the demand for labor is not the issue. But here’s the flip side of this. There are about 6 million workers in the U.S. with part-time jobs looking for full-time jobs. There are also, by one count, at least 600,000 people who have stopped looking for jobs. But that seems low to me. The point is, there are plenty of people who want full-time work in this country. And there are plenty of people who... Read More »Slumping Ventas
Investors did not like what they heard about Ventas for the third quarter, despite an earnings beat. So, when we first heard that Ventas was announcing that third quarter earnings were going to exceed estimates, we thought, ho-hum, so what else is new, they always beat estimates. The press release was glowing about all the accomplishments during the quarter. They revised guidelines for the full year slightly upward. I didn’t get a chance to listen in live to the earnings call, but I did notice how the share price dropped by 5%. What, on an earnings beat? And then it dropped a little more. It was the revenue miss and concerns about growth that sent investors to the exits. Since then, there... Read More »The Assisted Living ;A Market
Cap rates are low, values are high, but the mix of buyers and sellers in the assisted living acquisition market is changing. How will that impact values going forward? The assisted living acquisition market has been vibrant for the past several years, with demand so high for some properties even the brokers representing the sellers have been surprised on occasion. But something has changed since last year, and there is some disagreement over whether we have reached a peak in the market, or not. A lot of that hinges on what happens to cap rates, and that will be influenced by what the Federal Reserve does. It is now looking like a rate hike may not be coming until next year. If that’s the... Read More »Seniors Housing Occupancy Still Not Strong Enough
The third quarter showed some positive movement for seniors housing occupancy, but not positive enough, especially with construction starts. Well, well, well, what are we to make of the third quarter occupancy and construction stats that came out from NIC last week? The good news was that sequentially, occupancy at stabilized assisted living properties increased by 25 basis points to 90.5%, but was still down 68 basis points from a year ago. That means that the summer uptick that we had been hearing about may not have been as strong as many had thought. One issue we have is that the third quarter sequential occupancy growth for the top 99 MSAs was at the low end for the past seven years,... Read More »The Buzz at NIC
With record attendance (again), the buzz continued to be positive, despite some looming concerns. Well, what can I say after my 25th annual NIC conference? I could talk about the record number of attendees, the building, buying, investing and financing buzz. But did anyone notice, just one block from the hotel, the vacant lot for sale with banners waving in the wind, proclaiming “Senior Living Site Available.” I’m not kidding. People were there to do deals, make new contacts and expand existing ones, and for the newbies, to try to get a better understanding of the seniors housing and care sector. But the NIC organizers had a new program, called NIC Talks, and for this conference the theme... Read More »Schedule a demo
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